Despite the restricted time frame and geographical scope of the US-Israel war on Iran, its impacts have been profound and far-reaching. Somalia, one of the most import-dependent states in the world, heavily relies on international support for both its economy and security. Consequently, it was anticipated that the war would lead to severe and swift repercussions for the country. This study has explored the implications of the ongoing US-Israel war on Iran in Somalia, with a particular focus on its economic, security, and political repercussions. Within the limited period, the conflict has caused severe economic consequences, including a sharp price increase across sectors of the country’s economy, particularly the food and energy sectors, and is expected to severely impact the financial and trade sectors. While the political implications of the conflict in Somalia appear relatively limited, the security consequences are deep and worrisome, given Somalia’s fragile security and its heavy reliance on foreign assistance.

The study shows that government institutions possess limited capacity to manage prices during crises, and effective economic coordination among the country’s federal member states with major port cities is critical during regional crises to stabilize local markets, protect citizens from price shocks, and enhance national resilience. The findings indicate that the economic impacts will be particularly severe for residents of rural areas and drought-affected communities. The study emphasizes that security assistance from Somalia’s partners is likely to decrease due to the US-Israel war on Iran, which will adversely impact the military operations against the militant groups within the country.